Saturday 5 January 2019

Who will win General election 2019 and why ?

My first neighbor Mr. X, Age- 65+, Status- Pro Congress
I- What’s wrong with Modi? He is doing lot of good work. People love him and he is recognized as one of the top global leaders now?
Mr. X- No. He is fooling people. He has done nothing except banning the notes (demonetization), bringing GST and travelling in foreign countries. He make people fool every time he speaks on stage. I didn’t get my 15 lacs until now.
I. But he never promised to bring it into your account. It was an estimation of total black money which could be easily distributed if brought back. And what about Ujjawal, Mudra, Digital systems and several other initiatives and keeping neighboring countries under control ?
Mr. X- He promised. You know nothing. You just read on internet and think you know everything. LPG was distributed by Congress as well, Bank loans were always there, and Indian forces are strong enough to defend itself from China and Pakistan. What Modi has done in this ?
I- He eradicated the brokers who used to take money of poor people by providing subsidies directly into the account and he….
Mr. X- All this is non sense (I was interrupted in between)
I- If he is so bad and liar, why do you think he is winning even after four years ?
Mr. X- All this is non sense. Let elections come and people will throw him out of power.
I. Ok. Whom will you vote then ?
Mr. X- . . . . . . . .. a long pause and scratching his head.
I- Who? Rahul Gandhi ?
Mr. X- He is learning and is not prepared yet.
I- Kejriwal?
Mr. X- He is another liar. He joined hands with Lalu. Never him!
I- Who else is remaining then? Will you even give your vote next year ?
Mr. X- I have to give it to Modi. We don’t have any other option. And he is not that bad. He only need to plan it before announcing something. He must make appropriate use of government machinery.
So I can say there are four type of voters,
  1. Anti BJP
  2. Anti Congress
  3. Pro BJP
  4. Pro Congress
Category 1 will never vote for NDA. Category 2 and 3 will go with NDA.
Only sensible people will vote for NDA from category 4. Remaining will favour for fools. Last four years trends are sufficient to speak about the volume of each category.
Mr. X is one such sensible person from above true conversation.
So its NDA again in 2019.

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